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[The Big Picture] Criminal Probe into Goldman Sachs | The Big Picture: Bruce Krasting and Yves Smith have written some awfully interesting pieces in the last 48 hours on the mechanism by which GS (and DB?) may have pushed Bear Stearns and Lehman down the stairs: selling them toxic exposures and then manipulating their ratings by simultaneously going hugely short their equities and buying massive quantities of their CDS.

[Bullfax.com - Market News & Analysis] Macro Overview: Economy & Markets | www.bullfax.com: It is time to take a big picture look at everything: This is a summation of everything we have discussed over the past month and quarter. Where are we in this particular cycle?

[The Big Picture] Keep the Casinos Open | The Big Picture: Now imagine that instead of just John Paulson and only a few others, many people realized how ugly the real estate bubble was going to be, and realized it a few years earlier than when it was actually experienced. If they all tried to put on “side bets” that real estate would fall (and mortgages would default), they would have moved prices.

[Bear Market News] Counting on the Census « Bear Market News: Rice’s Institute for Urban Studies, which has been tracking opinions and demographics in Houston for three decades, has found an increasing number of people who disagree. Just 64 percent of people surveyed last year agreed that kids of undocumented parents should be able to go to public schools, down from 71 percent three years ago.

[The Big Picture] Greece, GS = Dow Off 200 | The Big Picture: top is only of interest to those foolish enough to be trying to trade a once in lifetime global financial crisis. Look at a chart of the Dow from spring 1930 to spring 1933 or the Nikkei from 1990 to today and try to imagine how many traders were able to successfully navigate those roller coasters.

[Jim Kopas] Are You Prepared For A Bear Market in Bonds?: What about the current business cycle picture?  For that we turn to our proprietary Inflation Barometer, a model consisting of 10 reliable technical and fundamental indicators designed to capture inflation changes caused in every new business cycle. When it moves above 50%, it triggers an “inflation” buy signal for this business cycle suggesting higher commodity prices.

[Haines Alaska News and Comment] Haines Alaska News and Comment » Time for Participation and ...: Black Bear Lake had been stocked with rainbow trout in the 1950s and even though the fish weren’t native to the lake, Alaska Fish and Game (ADF &G) was concerned for their sustainability.  The biologists had concerns that the hydro’s annual drawdowns might impact the spawning beds of the rainbow trout.  Population surveys were conducted for seven years and a habitat survey conducted in 2002.  It was found that there were many trout spawning areas in the lake other than the lake outlet and trout were able to spawn when drawdowns occurred.  The rainbow population has not been at risk from this project even though the lake itself  does not provide ideal rainbow habitat.

[Big Picture Market Timing] A Big Picture Review of Market & Economy « Big Picture Market Timing: To summarize, we are in a secular bear market and cyclical bull market.   The current cyclical bull isn’t done yet because retail investors haven’t fully joined the party, and market internals are still strong.

[Finance Blog] Spain's Unemployment Rate Hits 20%, Debt Rollover Risk Mounts ...: Spanish Unemployment rose from 18.8% to 20.1%, union work rules helped wreck the economy, and Spain must shrink its deficit according to EU rules.Please consider Spanish Unemployment Rate Tops 20%, Undermining Deficit FightSpain’s unemployment rate rose above 20 percent for the first time in more than a decade, [...]&source=Finance Blog" class="linkedin" title="Share this on Linkedin">

[The Big Picture] Who Nailed the Euro-Zone Mess ? | The Big Picture: 11 Richebacher Letter e-mail alert: “We would not go far as to predict Greece will default, nor would we go so far as to suggest the euro is about to come undone, but we do believe the pressures and the pushback that are going to be brought to bear on a number of European nations will put a serious question in the minds of investors who may have convinced themselves in recent months that the euro was a contender for snatching the reserve currency status of the U.S. dollar.”

[DealBook] Spain's Debt Rating Cut as Finance Officials Meet - DealBook Blog ...: But what Spain does have is the highest twin deficit, or combined budget and current account deficits, of any country in the world except Iceland, a reflection of how dependent it is on increasingly fickle foreign investors for financing. Spain has 225 billion euros in debt coming due this year ”” an amount that is about the size of Greece’s economy.

[Trans-Siberian Blog | Russia Experience] Calling Moscow (Part 9) | Trans Siberian Blog | Russia Experience: There's no energy resources, there's no real industry. They're a classic example of a country where the majority of people .

[The Big Picture] S&P500 Market Update | The Big Picture: but it’s been quite a while since that`s been the case. This all fits very well with my observation that over the last several decades, what has happened in the U.S. is the creation of a “hollow economy”

[Extended Stay Kinder] Extended Stay Kinder » Blog Archiv » The United States is trying ...: 2 in the death of Jeanie Waterson-Wheeler, 44, also of Lancaster, whom he had been dating.Prosecutors said Rodgers was on a methamphetamine binge when he shot Waterson-Wheeler on Dec. She raised her five boys without the help of a husband but with the assistance of extended family that included Uncle Tinker.A mechanic who owned a shop on 41st street, Uncle Tinker looked for ways to keep the brothers out of gangs.

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